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97 Consensus Myth.pdf


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2/17/2014

Table of Figures
Figure 1: Percentage agreement with IPCC AGW declaration and survey numbers .............. 3
Figure 2: Holocene Era 11,000 year Northern Hemisphere Temperature History ................... 5
Figure 3: Oreskes (2004) claims .................................................................................................... 6
Figure 4: Peiser (2005) re-run of Oreskes (2004) ......................................................................... 6
Figure 5: Doran & Zimmerman (2009) claim of 97% ................................................................... 7
Figure 6: Doran & Zimmerman (2009) Breakdown of respondents versus self-selected group 7
Figure 7: Anderegg et al (2010) found 66% "Convinced by Evidence" (CE) ............................... 8
Figure 8: Anderegg et al (2010) Breakdown of CE/UE in 100 Most Published/Most Cited
Papers ............................................................................................................................................. 8
Figure 9: The Cook et al (2013) Dynamic Graphic from "The Consensus Project" web-site ..... 9
Figure 10: A Deconstruction of the Cook et al (2013) ................................................................. 9
Figure 11: Factors that affect climate......................................................................................... 11
Figure 12: Human Impact on Climate - Range of Possible Influence ....................................... 14
Figure 13: Heliosphere visualized ............................................................................................... 15
Figure 14: 90 CMIP5 Climate Models vs Observations ............................................................. 21
Figure 15: Comparison of Results of Oreskes (2004) "Consensus" and Peiser (2005) Re-run 23
Figure 16: Breakdown of Doran & Zimmerman (2009) ............................................................. 24
Figure 17: Anderegg et al (2010) assessment of 100 most published/most cited authors ....... 26
Figure 18: Anderegg et al (2010) review of scientists by lists or statements of position on
AGW .............................................................................................................................................. 27
Figure 19: This is Not Consensus ............................................................................................... 28
Figure 20: Cook et al (2013) breakdown ..................................................................................... 29
Figure 21: Table comparing variables in the four main studies ............................................... 32
Figure 22: Cross-referenced table comparing elements of key studies .................................... 34
Figure 23: A visual comparison of the Cook et al (2013) Consensus graphic and Pac-Man ... 39

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